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Limitations

August 26th, 2009, 11:13 am · Post a Comment · posted by fsherman

Speaker: Since this modeling technology has only been around for a decade or so, it’s difficult to evaluate how well it works as a predictor, but the results have been good overall, and there’s constant effort to review and improve.
Stahlnaker shows pictures of Jetty East today and 20 years ago: “Our sand has been transported away.”
Dave Sherry: “One eight hundred pound gorilla in the room … it seems like all these scenarios assume something will be done with Norriego Point.” It’s a big draw on the sand.
Speaker: Our scenarios will have to assume either that nothing is done or that some sort of armoring is adopted.
Sherry: either way, that will be a huge difference to the overall picture.

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