Anyone seen this 2004 film? It’s a historical mockumentary that traces the impact on American history of the South’s victory in the Civil War (via convincing France and England to commit troops to fight alongside the Confederates, something I find implausible): The conquest of the Northern states, the push to reintroduce slavery to the Union side, the conquest and occupation of Central and South America.
As a mockumentary, it’s a perfect clone of the PBS documentaries you see on AMERICAN EXPERIENCE, with great touches such as commercials for the Slave Shopping Network and clips from the biopic THE JEFFERSON DAVIS STORY and the Cold War thriller (the Cold War being between the US and abolitionist Canada) I MARRIED AN ABOLITIONIST.
As an alternate history, it flops on multiple grounds, even if I bought the initial premise. For one thing, it doesn’t think through the consequences: If the CSA expelled all the Jews around the turn of the 20th century, where did we get the atomic scientists to launch an a-bomb project (fleeing Hungarian Jews gave a monumental boost to American physics back in the thirties)? If the CSA sat out the war in Europe, how did the Allies beat the Nazis?
Which leads to another weakness: Despite the huge changes, too much history comes out the same as it did in our timeline. The Allies do win World War II; we get rock-and-roll based on “race music,” even if the stars have to go to Canada to perform; Kennedy and Nixon both run for president in 1960 (albeit Kennedy is a Republican running on an abolitionist platform); and so forth. This is something that annoys me a lot in alternate history; I have the same problem with Philip Roth’s THE PLOT AGAINST AMERICA (in which despite a wildly different World War II, history apparently goes completely back “on track” afterwards) and even the superb JONATHAN STRANGE AND MR. NORRELL, in which the presence of a powerful wizard in the Napoleonic Wars doesn’t accelerate Napoleon’s downfall at all (for that matter, having a powerful half-faerie wizard rule much of England in the Middle Ages hasn’t apparently changed subsequent history). It’s one reason I like Naomi Novik’s Temeraire series: Having dragons in the Napoleonic wars is leading to some major divergences as the series progresses.
A minor point is that the writers seem less to be building a plausible 21st century confederate nation than coming up with a government that reflects modern white supremacy movements. There’s no real reason I can see that the CSA would proclaim itself a Christian nation and exile all Jews, for instance (any experts on the Confederacy who disagree, feel free to correct me), but that does conform to the hate agenda of many modern white militants, Southern or otherwise. As a friend of mine points out, dystopian fiction (the opposite of utopian fiction) usually says as much about our fears in the present as what’s really likely to arrive in the future (or in some alternate timeline).